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Equities outperformed 1-month T-bill only 80% of the time on a rolling 10-year basis

Equities outperformed 1-month T-bill only 80% of the time on a rolling 10-year basis.png

The long-term value premium requires a strategic lens

The long-term value premium requires a strategic lens.png

Worst equity excess return drawdowns across countries (USD terms)

Worst equity excess return drawdowns across countries (USD terms).png

Rankings of equity excess returns by decade

Rankings of equity excess returns by decade.png

Equity market cumulative excess returns since 1900

Equity market cumulative excess returns since 1900.png

Risk averse sentiment exists across all regions

Risk averse sentiment exists across all regions.png

The strong labor market tells us we are late cycle

The strong labor market tells us we are late cycle.png

Downward revision to profit margins is negative for hiring and capex outlook since 1960

Downward revision to profit margins is negative for hiring and capex outlook.png

Guggenheim S&P 500 bull/bear market indicator since 1968

Guggenheim S&P 500 bull bear market indicator since 1968.png

Prepare for a large drawdown in stocks during the next recession

Prepare for a large drawdown in stocks during the next recession.png

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